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Republicans are freaking out over Texas Senate race

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Republicans are freaking out over Texas Senate race

Texas Senate Primary: A High-Stakes GOP Showdown

With the Texas primary just days away, the Republican Party is on edge. The fiercely contested race between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has turned into a bitter intraparty battle that could jeopardize a crucial Senate seat. Despite significant efforts from national Republicans to bolster Cornyn’s campaign, Paxton remains a formidable contender in the primary race, raising alarms within the GOP about the potential consequences of his nomination.

Republicans Worry About Losing a Senate Seat

Senate Majority Leader John Thune has expressed concerns about the possibility of losing the Senate seat if Cornyn fails to secure the nomination. “Honestly, if you look at the polling in a general election setting, I don’t think it’s outside the realm of possibility that the seat [flips], depending on who the Democrats nominate,” Thune stated. The implications of a Paxton victory could force the GOP to divert critical funds from other battleground states, complicating their path to maintaining Senate control.

High Stakes Advertising and Campaign Strategies

The Republican Party has already invested nearly $100 million in TV advertisements focusing on the primary race, with recent ads targeting Paxton’s personal and professional controversies. Nevertheless, Paxton, who is regarded as a MAGA hero, has gained momentum with strong grassroots support. “All signs indicate that Paxton probably finishes first,” a Washington GOP operative noted, underscoring the potential narrative that Paxton could outperform Cornyn.

Trump’s Neutral Stance Raises Eyebrows

Former President Donald Trump has refrained from endorsing a candidate in the primary, maintaining a neutral stance by stating, “I’m friendly with all of them. I like all of them, all three.” Despite pressure from Senate Republicans to back Cornyn, Trump’s longstanding relationship with Paxton has left political analysts uncertain about his potential endorsement.

Concerns and Predictions

The possibility of a runoff between Cornyn and Paxton looms large, with Paxton potentially holding the edge due to his strong conservative base. Dave Carney, an adviser to Texas Governor Greg Abbott, predicted, “The most conservative candidate tends to win because they often have the most driven supporters in low-turnout primary runoff elections.”

Uncertain Future for Texas Republicans

The outcome of the Texas primary could set the stage for significant political shifts. As GOP donors express concerns over the party’s financial strategy and the potential risks of a Paxton nomination, the race remains too close to call. “There is frustration from everyone that Trump lets this happen by not endorsing,” lamented one GOP donor.

Conclusion

As the Texas primary approaches, the stakes are higher than ever for Republicans. The intraparty contest between Cornyn and Paxton has not only consumed vast resources but also poses a critical test for the GOP’s unity and strategy. With the potential for a high-profile runoff and the pressure to keep Texas red, the coming weeks will undoubtedly shape the future of the party and its influence in the Senate.

Source: https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/26/republicans-alarm-grows-about-holding-texas-senate-seat-00799856

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